Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions

Riga FC

4 - 0

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Match Events

Salazar A.

Assist: Oulad M'Hand S.

27'

Badamosi M.

(Penalty)

34'

Oulad M'Hand S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Riga FC and FK Liepaja finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Riga FC

Draws

FK Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Riga FC carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Riga FC taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Riga FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 68%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga FC	FK Liepaja
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	21	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	3	13
Goals Scored	2.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Virsliga

Riga FC vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

May 3, 2026 Virsliga

Riga FC vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Mar 7, 2026 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs Riga FC

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Oct 3, 2025 Virsliga

Riga FC vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Sep 18, 2025 Latvian Cup

FK Liepaja vs Riga FC

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oulad M'Hand S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 95 / 100

FK Liepaja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga FC FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Riga FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS FK Liepaja

2.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
2	Riga FC	22	17	4	1	65:19	55
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
5	BFC Daugavpils	22	7	6	9	25:29	27
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	22	3	8	11	37:44	17
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21:55	13