Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Skonto stadions, Riga

Riga FC

3 - 2

Ararat-Armenia

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Iago Siqueira

Assist: Badamosi M.

23'

Ankrah A.

34'

Grigoryan E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Champions League tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Riga FC

39%

Draws

31%

Ararat-Armenia

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Riga FC lately — more wins on the board than Ararat-Armenia.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Riga FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 20%

Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga FC	Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	22	16
Draws	5	6
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	2.5	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Champions League

Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia

3:2

Jul 7, 2026 Champions League

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Siqueira

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ankrah A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaghoyan Z.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sandro Lima

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 31 / 100

Ararat-Armenia 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga FC Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ararat-Armenia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Riga FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS Ararat-Armenia

2.5 Goals Scored 1.43

0.63 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 71%

75% Over 2.5 29%

50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)

14 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 2

Ararat-Armenia

10 Jul

Leevon PPK

2 : 3

Riga FC

07 Jul

Ararat-Armenia

2 : 0

Riga FC

03 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 0

Jelgava

29 Jun

FK Auda Riga

0 : 2

Riga FC

Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia

(Away)

14 Jul

Riga FC

3 : 2

Ararat-Armenia

07 Jul

Ararat-Armenia

2 : 0

Riga FC

27 Jun

Ararat-Armenia

1 : 1

Vojvodina

20 Jun

Ararat-Armenia

1 : 1

Mura

27 May

Ararat-Armenia

1 : 0

FC Gandzasar

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Thun-

TBD-

Din. Zagreb-

Klaksvik4

Bissen2

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Drita3

Mjallby-

TBD-

Lincoln Red Imps4

Inter Escaldes2

Flora4

Iberia 19995

TBD-

Slovan Bratislava-

Borac Banja Luka1

Levski Sofia5

ML Vitebsk1

Univ. Craiova5

Omonia-

TBD-

Kairat Almaty4

Sutjeska1

Aarhus-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Sabah Baku4

TNS1

Vardar3

KuPS4

Ararat-Armenia4

Riga FC3

Floriana3

Shamrock Rovers5

Petrocub Hincesti2

KF Egnatia7

TBD-

Celje-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Gyor2

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Tre Fiori1

Larne3

TBD-

Crvena zvezda-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Sturm Graz-

TBD-

Hearts-

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Thun1

Din. Zagreb1

Klaksvik0

FK Kauno Zalgiris0

Mjallby3

Lincoln Red Imps0

Iberia 19990

Slovan Bratislava2

Levski Sofia1

Univ. Craiova0

Omonia1

Kairat Almaty0

Aarhus1

Lech Poznan4

Sabah Baku1

KuPS0

Ararat-Armenia2

Shamrock Rovers0

KF Egnatia3

Celje3

Vikingur Reykjavik2

H. Beer Sheva1

Larne0

Crvena zvezda4

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce1

Gornik Zabrze0

Sturm Graz4

Hearts0

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Lyon-

TBD-

Final

TBD-