Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Oulad M'Hand S.
42'
Sub
Paulo Eduardo In: Cernomordijs A.
Out: Paulo Eduardo
51'
Traore Y.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Riga FC and FK Auda Riga finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Riga FC
35%
Draws
32%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Riga FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Riga FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 13%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.35 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
2:2
Jun 29, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
0:2
May 12, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Riga FC
1:2
Feb 17, 2026 Super Cup
Riga FC vs FK Auda Riga
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oulad M'Hand S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Ferreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC 31 / 100
FK Auda Riga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Riga FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Auda Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC VS FK Auda Riga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
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FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)