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Riga FC W vs Iecava/Olaine W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Women
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riga FC W host Iecava/Olaine W in the 1. Liga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Riga FC W have averaged 7.55 scored and 0.48 conceded recently, against Iecava/Olaine W's 2.59 scored and 3.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Riga FC W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (4.00 - 1.81) back Riga FC W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Riga FC W
15%
Draws
24%
Iecava/Olaine W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga FC W lately — more wins on the board than Iecava/Olaine W.
  • Model gives Riga FC W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • History favors Riga FC W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Riga FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Iecava/Olaine W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga FC W Iecava/Olaine W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 31 12
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 7.55 2.59
Goals Conceded 0.48 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 1. Liga Women
Iecava/Olaine W vs Riga FC W
1:4
May 31, 2026 1. Liga Women
Iecava/Olaine W vs Riga FC W
0:12
Mar 28, 2026 1. Liga Women
Riga FC W vs Iecava/Olaine W
6:0
Oct 4, 2025 1. Liga Women
Iecava/Olaine W vs Riga FC W
0:8
Jun 14, 2025 1. Liga Women
Iecava/Olaine W vs Riga FC W
0:10

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga FC W 83 / 100
Iecava/Olaine W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga FC W Iecava/Olaine W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riga FC W's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Riga FC W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Iecava/Olaine W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Riga FC W VS Iecava/Olaine W
8.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Riga FC W
11 : 0
Rigas Futbola Skola W
30 Sept
FK Metta W
0 : 4
Riga FC W
26 Sept
Iecava/Olaine W
1 : 4
Riga FC W
23 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Metta W
12 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga W
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Iecava/Olaine W

(Away)
04 Oct
FK Metta W
9 : 0
Iecava/Olaine W
26 Sept
Iecava/Olaine W
1 : 4
Riga FC W
12 Sept
Rigas Futbola Skola W
0 : 4
Iecava/Olaine W
30 Aug
FK Auda Riga W
0 : 1
Iecava/Olaine W
26 Aug
Iecava/Olaine W
0 : 3
RFS W
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