Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Riga Mariners host Rezekne in the 1. Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Riga Mariners have averaged 2.55 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Rezekne's 1.13 scored and 2.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Riga Mariners have won 2 to Rezekne's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 0.88, favoring Riga Mariners. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Riga Mariners carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Riga Mariners a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Riga Mariners have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Riga Mariners | Rezekne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Riga Mariners found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Rezekne conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.
Riga Mariners went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Riga Mariners
(Home)Rezekne
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valmiera | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44:14 | 41 |
| 2 | FK Metta | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 69:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 36 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34:15 | 35 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:23 | 28 |
| 6 | Marupe | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 25 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | 23 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:30 | 20 |
| 9 | Skanste | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 30:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Tukums 2000 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21:45 | 12 |
| 11 | RFS 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:45 | 12 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:43 | 10 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13:46 | 5 |
