Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Riga Mariners

4 - 3

RFS 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Sinelnikovs A.

Assist: Poluhovics A.

10'

Kouadio A.

Assist: Porsan Clemente J.

24'

Stadnik Y. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Riga Mariners and RFS 2 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Riga Mariners

33%

Draws

27%

RFS 2

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Riga Mariners carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Riga Mariners a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Riga Mariners have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 20%

RFS 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Riga Mariners	RFS 2
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	19	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	4	12
Goals Scored	3.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	3.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Nakotnes liga

RFS 2 vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Nov 1, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga Mariners vs RFS 2

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

4:3

Jul 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga

RFS 2 vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sinelnikovs A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.63

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouadio A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baumanis K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 40 / 100

RFS 2 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Riga Mariners RFS 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riga Mariners scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

RFS 2 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Riga Mariners went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS RFS 2

3.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14