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Riga Mariners vs Riga FC 2

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Grazis A.
34' Event
Pena B.
37' Event
Caune M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Riga Mariners and Riga FC 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Riga Mariners
30%
Draws
23%
Riga FC 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga FC 2 haven't matched Riga Mariners's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Riga Mariners a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 17%
Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga Mariners Riga FC 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Riga Mariners
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Riga FC 2
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Riga FC 2
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 1. Liga
Riga FC 2 vs Riga Mariners
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caune M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prudchenko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga Mariners 84 / 100
Riga FC 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga Mariners Riga FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riga Mariners scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Riga FC 2 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Riga Mariners has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riga Mariners VS Riga FC 2
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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