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Riga United vs Kadaga/Ostas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024
Sun, May 19, 2024
3 - 2
02:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Riga United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Riga United
15%
Draws
21%
Kadaga/Ostas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Riga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Riga United taking it.
  • Riga United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Riga United Clean Sheet 10%
Kadaga/Ostas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga United Kadaga/Ostas
Matches Played 17 6
Wins 6 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.06 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Latvian Cup
Riga United vs Kadaga/Ostas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga United 83 / 100
Kadaga/Ostas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga United Kadaga/Ostas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kadaga/Ostas has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Riga United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).

Recent resilience: Riga United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga United VS Kadaga/Ostas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga United

(Home)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Kadaga/Ostas

(Away)
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
27 May
Aliance
4 : 0
Kadaga/Ostas
12 May
Kadaga/Ostas
2 : 1
Namejs
06 May
DSVK Traktors
4 : 3
Kadaga/Ostas
18 Jul
Kadaga/Ostas
0 : 6
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Bebri 3
JFC Viola 2
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK -
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Livani -
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Grobina -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Sports United/Cesis -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
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Riga FC -
Sigulda -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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Kadaga/Ostas -
Dinamo Riga -
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Iecava -
FK Union 0
Riga Mariners 2
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RSU -
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS -
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Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors -
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Plavinas -
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Kekava-Auda -
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele -
FK Alberts -
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Rezekne -
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Jules Verne -
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FK Cesis -
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
1/64-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors 3
Bebri 1
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK 7
Livani 2
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Grobina -
Lielupe 5
Valka 1
Sports United/Cesis 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 12
Super Nova -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Riga FC -
Sigulda 0
LSPA 5
Riga United 3
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Dinamo Riga 1
Iecava 3
Riga Mariners 4
RSU 1
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS 4
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors 1
Plavinas 2
Talsi 3
Kekava-Auda 4
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele 4
FK Alberts 0
Rezekne -
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Jules Verne 2
FK Cesis 3
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance 20
FK Limbazi 0
1/32-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 4
Upesciema Warriors 0
Skanste 6
Salaspils FK 1
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Grobina -
Lielupe 1
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Super Nova 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 2
Riga United 0
Iecava 1
Riga Mariners 3
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FK Metta -
Ogre United 2
Marupe 7
Madona/BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 6
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
Plavinas 0
Kekava-Auda 5
Alberts JDFS 5
Bauskas / Memele 0
Rezekne 5
FK Cesis 0
AFA Olaine 3
Aliance 0
1/16-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
RFS -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 2
Skanste 1
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Grobina -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 0
Riga Mariners 5
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FK Metta -
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 1
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Kekava-Auda 3
Alberts JDFS 4
Rezekne 1
AFA Olaine 5
1/8-finals
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 3
RFS 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Leevon PPK 2
Grobina 1
JFK Ventspils 0
Riga FC 3
Riga Mariners 0
FK Metta 4
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 4
Alberts JDFS 1
AFA Olaine 2
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 3
RFS 4
Leevon PPK 0
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Liepaja 1
AFA Olaine 0
Semi-finals
RFS 2
Riga FC 1
FK Auda Riga 3
FK Liepaja 0
Final
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 2