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Riga United vs Rinuzi

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2015/2016
Riga United Logo

Riga United

Sat, Jun 13, 2015
3 - 0
12:30 PM
Rinuzi Logo

Rinuzi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2015/2016. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Rinuzi have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Riga United have conceded 3 and scored 2.06. Past meetings favor Riga United slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2015, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.39 xG vs 2.96) point toward Rinuzi. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Riga United
15%
Draws
42%
Rinuzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Riga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Riga United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Riga United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Riga United Clean Sheet 10%
Rinuzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riga United Rinuzi
Matches Played 17 9
Wins 6 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.06 2.33
Goals Conceded 3 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.39 2.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2015 Latvian Cup
Riga United vs Rinuzi
3:0
Jun 2, 2014 Latvian Cup
Rinuzi vs Riga United
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riga United 56 / 100
Rinuzi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riga United Rinuzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rinuzi has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Riga United scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Riga United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riga United VS Rinuzi
2.38 Goals Scored 2.8
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga United

(Home)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Rinuzi

(Away)
13 Jun
Riga United
3 : 0
Rinuzi
13 Jul
Rinuzi
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
06 Jul
SFK United
1 : 2
Rinuzi
20 Jun
FK Carnikava
4 : 5
Rinuzi
02 Jun
Rinuzi
7 : 2
Riga United
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
TBD -
Super Nova 0
Grobina 3
Saldus -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adazi -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna -
FK Bandava -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Lacplesis -
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 4
Ludzas NSS 1
TBD -
Ogre -
Lielupe 2
Priekuli 1
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marienburg -
Riga United 3
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Bebri -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
Kuldigas NSS 3
JFC Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
Compact.LV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 10
Grobina 0
Saldus 0
Riga FC 5
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
Adazi 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems 6
Fortuna 1
FK Bandava 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Lacplesis 0
Balvu SC 1
Monarhs 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 3
Ogre 0
Lielupe 0
Valmiera 7
Rezekne -
Marienburg -
Riga United 1
Jekabpils SC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
FK Alberts 0
Bebri 1
Alberts JDFS 3
Preilu BJSS 4
Kuldigas NSS 0
JFC Dobele 0
Compact.LV 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
AFA Olaine 5
Tukums 2000 2
FK Smiltene 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
Upesciems 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 3
Monarhs 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 1
Valmiera 10
Rezekne 2
Jekabpils SC 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Preilu BJSS 5
Compact.LV 2
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 1
Riga FC 0
AFA Olaine 0
SK Babite 1
FK Liepaja 4
Salaspils FK 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Ventspils 7
BFC Daugavpils 2
Valmiera 0
Rezekne 0
FK Metta 4
Skonto 4
Alberts JDFS 0
Preilu BJSS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 6
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 3
SK Babite 2
FK Liepaja 0
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Metta 0
Skonto 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Final
Jelgava 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0