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Rignanese vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 game between Rignanese and Valdinievole Montecatini finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rignanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rignanese
6%
Draws
4%
Valdinievole Montecatini
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rignanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rignanese come out ahead of Valdinievole Montecatini on wins alone.
  • Rignanese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rignanese Clean Sheet 20%
Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rignanese Valdinievole Montecatini
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Rignanese vs Valdinievole Montecatini
1:0
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Rignanese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rignanese 85 / 100
Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rignanese Valdinievole Montecatini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdinievole Montecatini let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Rignanese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rignanese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Valdinievole Montecatini registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rignanese VS Valdinievole Montecatini
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rignanese

(Home)
20 May
Rignanese
0 : 2
Scandicci
06 May
Rignanese
0 : 3
Argentina
29 Apr
Ligorna
0 : 3
Rignanese
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Apr
Real Forte Querceta
1 : 1
Rignanese
Page 1 of 6

Valdinievole Montecatini

(Away)
31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
29 Apr
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 : 0
FC Ponsacco
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albissola34216756:3069
2Sanremese34207758:3467
3FC Ponsacco341711649:3162
4Real Forte Querceta341612650:2760
5Viareggio34179857:4658
6Massese341511850:3356
7Savona341671153:3455
8Seravezza Pozzi341312944:3351
9San Donato Tavarnelle3412101241:3446
10Ghiviborgo3410141048:4544
11Ligorna3411101341:5043
12Sestri Levante341191435:3442
13Lavagnese341181535:4241
14Rignanese341081636:6038
15Scandicci341042042:5434
16Finale346121638:4930
17Argentina34492129:7121
18Valdinievole Montecatini34292319:7415
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)