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Stadium Background

Rijeka vs Hajduk Split

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Rijeka Logo

Rijeka

3 - 2
FT
Hajduk Split Logo

Hajduk Split

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Fruk T.
18'
Raci R.
19'
Rebic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this Croatian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rijeka
30%
Draws
43%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hajduk Split have won more games recently than Rijeka.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Hajduk Split taking it.
  • Hajduk Split arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 16%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka Hajduk Split
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Croatian Cup
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
3:2
Feb 22, 2026 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split
5:0
Aug 31, 2025 HNL
Hajduk Split vs Rijeka
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Fruk T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rukavina G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukstas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brajkovic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 11 / 100
Hajduk Split 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rijeka scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Hajduk Split let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rijeka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS Hajduk Split
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0
Rijeka
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rijeka
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1
Rijeka
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0
Ilves
02 Aug
Rijeka
2 : 1
Rudes
Page 1 of 6

Hajduk Split

(Away)
20 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
16 Aug
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Hajduk Split
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 2
Istra 1961
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2