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Rijeka vs HNK Gorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rijeka host HNK Gorica in the HNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Rijeka at 1.52 goals for, 0.91 against; HNK Gorica at 1.1 for, 1.47 against. Head-to-head, Rijeka have won 3 to HNK Gorica's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Rijeka to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rijeka
30%
Draws
28%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijeka come out ahead of HNK Gorica on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rijeka taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 19%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rijeka HNK Gorica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
0:0
May 23, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 HNL
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rijeka 76 / 100
HNK Gorica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rijeka HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: HNK Gorica conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Rijeka found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Rijeka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rijeka VS HNK Gorica
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rijeka

(Home)
16 Oct
Rudes
1 : 2
Rijeka
11 Oct
Slaven Belupo
4 : 1
Rijeka
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
Page 1 of 7

HNK Gorica

(Away)
17 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 10 7 1 2 19:9 22
2 Din. Zagreb 9 6 1 2 23:12 19
3 Varazdin 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
4 Osijek 10 5 2 3 19:15 17
5 Rijeka 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
6 Istra 1961 10 3 3 4 17:16 12
7 Lok. Zagreb 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
8 Slaven Belupo 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
9 Rudes 10 2 1 7 13:27 7
10 HNK Gorica 10 1 3 6 7:15 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)