Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rilindja vs Trepca Mitrovice

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2025/2026 game between Rilindja and Trepca Mitrovice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rilindja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Rilindja
15%
Draws
64%
Trepca Mitrovice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Rilindja have produced (0.86).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rilindja taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rilindja Clean Sheet 16%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilindja Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Rilindja
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Rilindja
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Trepca Mitrovice
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Rilindja
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilindja 36 / 100
Trepca Mitrovice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilindja Trepca Mitrovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trepca Mitrovice has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Rilindja scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Trepca Mitrovice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilindja VS Trepca Mitrovice
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilindja

(Home)
22 Aug
Rilindja
1 : 1
Ferizaj
16 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
2 : 0
Rilindja
23 May
Trepca 89
7 : 1
Rilindja
16 May
Rilindja
3 : 4
Dinamo Ferizaj
09 May
Suhareka
3 : 1
Rilindja
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Trepca Mitrovice

(Away)
23 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
5 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
23 May
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 3
2 Korriku
16 May
Feronikeli
3 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
10 May
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 1
Vushtrria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vushtrria 34 22 9 3 62:26 75
2 Feronikeli 34 22 8 4 59:22 74
3 Liria 34 21 8 5 60:29 71
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 34 22 5 7 61:39 71
5 Trepca 89 34 20 10 4 72:33 70
6 Vellaznimi 34 21 7 6 58:32 70
7 Ramiz Sadiku 34 14 8 12 39:29 50
8 Suhareka 34 13 5 16 60:61 44
9 Tefik Canga 34 12 4 18 48:54 40
10 2 Korriku 34 11 6 17 52:64 39
11 Besa Peja 33 9 8 16 39:52 35
12 Vjosa 34 9 8 17 39:61 35
13 Trepca Mitrovice 34 9 7 18 49:62 34
14 Kika 34 9 6 19 25:43 33
15 Istogu 34 7 11 16 47:60 32
16 Rilindja 34 8 8 18 34:61 32
17 Kek-U 33 4 9 20 25:63 21
18 Prizreni 34 3 11 20 28:66 20
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