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Rilindja vs Vellaznimi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilindja host Vellaznimi in the Liga e Pare. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Rilindja have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Vellaznimi's 1.55 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Vellaznimi slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.13) back Vellaznimi to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Rilindja
20%
Draws
7%
Vellaznimi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rilindja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Vellaznimi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rilindja a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rilindja Clean Sheet 20%
Vellaznimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilindja Vellaznimi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Vellaznimi
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga e Pare
Vellaznimi vs Rilindja
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Vellaznimi
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga e Pare
Vellaznimi vs Rilindja
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Vellaznimi
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilindja 85 / 100
Vellaznimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilindja Vellaznimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilindja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Rilindja scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vellaznimi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Rilindja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rilindja VS Vellaznimi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilindja

(Home)
03 Oct
Rilindja
0 : 2
Istogu
27 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 2
Rilindja
19 Sept
Rilindja
2 : 1
Vjosa
11 Sept
Kika
0 : 3
Rilindja
05 Sept
Rilindja
1 : 1
Trepca 89
Page 1 of 6

Vellaznimi

(Away)
03 Oct
Vellaznimi
0 : 1
Vjosa
26 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vellaznimi
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
04 Sept
Vellaznimi
0 : 4
Prishtina e Re
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)