Sport Picks
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Botev Ihtiman in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botev Ihtiman.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rilski Sportist lately — more wins on the board than Botev Ihtiman.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Rilski Sportist taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rilski Sportist | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Rilski Sportist
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
1:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rilski Sportist 76 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rilski Sportist Botev Ihtiman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rilski Sportist scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Rilski Sportist remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rilski Sportist VS Botev Ihtiman
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rilski Sportist
(Home) 26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Svoge
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Svoge
22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Montana
09 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 2 Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 4
Botev Ihtiman
(Away) 26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
