Sport Picks

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Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist play Botev Ihtiman in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rilski Sportist averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Botev Ihtiman averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Rilski Sportist won 2, Botev Ihtiman won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Rilski Sportist and 1.16 for Botev Ihtiman. This points to a Rilski Sportist double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rilski Sportist
33%
Draws
40%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Botev Ihtiman.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Botev Ihtiman.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Rilski Sportist
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Botev Ihtiman
1:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 28 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rilski Sportist scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rilski Sportist went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Botev Ihtiman lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Botev Ihtiman
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238