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Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2023/2024 game between Rilski Sportist and Hebar 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Rilski Sportist
15%
Draws
17%
Hebar 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Rilski Sportist taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Hebar 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 2
3:1
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
May 22, 2022 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Rilski Sportist
3:3
Nov 10, 2021 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 2
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 85 / 100
Hebar 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Hebar 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar 2 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Rilski Sportist scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Rilski Sportist stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

Hebar 2

(Away)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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