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Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Iskar, Samokov
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dimitrov I.
46'
Sub
Bliznakov A. In: Rodopski R.
Out: Bliznakov A.
46'
Sub
Tartov G. In: Mitkov M.
Out: Tartov G.

AI Match Summary

Rilski Sportist in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilski Sportist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Rilski Sportist
20%
Draws
19%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist have won more games recently than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Rilski Sportist taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rilski Sportist Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.15 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.81 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Vtora liga
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:0
Apr 28, 2013 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:4
Oct 21, 2012 Third League - South-West
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist
9:1
Jan 27, 2010 Club Friendly
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Rilski Sportist
5:0
Apr 4, 2009 B PFG West
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rilski Sportist Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rilski Sportist 85 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rilski Sportist Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Rilski Sportist has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rilski Sportist scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Rilski Sportist VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rilski Sportist

(Home)
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
Page 1 of 6

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
10 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)