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Rincon vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Manu Daza
42' Event
Entrena J.
69' Event
Entrena J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Rincon and Huetor Tajar finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Tajar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rincon
15%
Draws
34%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Huetor Tajar come out ahead of Rincon on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Huetor Tajar
0:3
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Rincon
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Rincon
1:1
Nov 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Rincon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Entrena J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manu Daza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 36 / 100
Huetor Tajar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Huetor Tajar conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Rincon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Huetor Tajar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)