Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rincon vs Maracena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Peso A.
71' Event
Gomez A. T.
89' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Rincon and Maracena finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maracena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rincon
30%
Draws
28%
Maracena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Maracena have managed 0.84 goals a game lately — Rincon are scoring more at 0.87.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Maracena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon Maracena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Maracena
0:3
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Rincon
0:4
Feb 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Maracena
2:1
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Rincon
0:2
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Rincon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maracena Compare

Top Goalscorer Peso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 59 / 100
Maracena 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon Maracena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maracena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rincon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rincon scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rincon VS Maracena
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
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Maracena

(Away)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)