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Stadium Background

Rincon vs River Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between Rincon and River Melilla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rincon
15%
Draws
0%
River Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rincon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rincon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rincon Clean Sheet 17%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rincon River Melilla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 0.84 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Rincon
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs River Melilla
2:2
Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs River Melilla
2:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Rincon
3:1
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Rincon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rincon 84 / 100
River Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rincon River Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: River Melilla conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: River Melilla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Rincon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rincon VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rincon

(Home)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
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River Melilla

(Away)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)