Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Ave B vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave B play FC Felgueiras in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rio Ave B averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. FC Felgueiras averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Rio Ave B won 0, FC Felgueiras won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Rio Ave B and 0.86 for FC Felgueiras. This points to a FC Felgueiras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rio Ave B
28%
Draws
37%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Felgueiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Ave B picked up more points recently compared to FC Felgueiras.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rio Ave B Clean Sheet 25%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave B FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 19 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rio Ave B vs FC Felgueiras
0:3
Jan 11, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Felgueiras vs Rio Ave B
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave B 37 / 100
FC Felgueiras 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave B FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Felgueiras or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rio Ave B attacking → ← attacking FC Felgueiras

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Ave B scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 57% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Rio Ave B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pevidem1897227:1634
2AD Fafe18104425:1734
3Vitoria Guimaraes B1888233:1432
4FC Felgueiras1887326:1731
5Sao Martinho1876524:2027
6Berco1875630:2726
7Rio Ave B1874723:2325
8Tirsense1863921:2921
9Brito18351020:3114
10Mondinense18011711:461
11Camacha00000:00
12Aves00000:00