Sport Picks
Rio Ave U19 vs Chaves U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Moreira R.
65'
65'
Rasgado L.
82'
82'
Mendes I.
AI Match Summary
Rio Ave U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Ave U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Chaves U19 haven't matched Rio Ave U19's recent run of results.
- Model gives Rio Ave U19 a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Rio Ave U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Ave U19 | Chaves U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Chaves U19
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Rio Ave U19
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Chaves U19
0:1
Nov 1, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Chaves U19
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Ave U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rasgado L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
Chaves U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendes I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Ave U19 47 / 100
Chaves U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Ave U19 Chaves U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Ave U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rio Ave U19 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Chaves U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Rio Ave U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rio Ave U19 VS Chaves U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.8
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Ave U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0 Rio Ave U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0 Vizela U19
15 Aug
Feirense U19
2 : 1 Rio Ave U19
08 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0 Vizela U19
08 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
10 May
Rio Ave U19
0 : 3 Sporting CP U19
10 Apr
Rio Ave U19
0 : 4 FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 4
Chaves U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0 Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2 Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2 Chaves U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2 Chaves U19
28 Feb
Moreirense U19
2 : 0 Chaves U19
07 Feb
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1 Chaves U19
31 Jan
Pacos Ferreira U19
0 : 1 Chaves U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
