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Rio Ave U23 vs Leiria U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave U23 host Leiria U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Leiria U23 have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Rio Ave U23 have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Rio Ave U23 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.94) back Rio Ave U23 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rio Ave U23
30%
Draws
23%
Leiria U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Ave U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Ave U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rio Ave U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rio Ave U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave U23 Leiria U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Rio Ave U23
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Leiria U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave U23 85 / 100
Leiria U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave U23 Leiria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Ave U23 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Leiria U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Rio Ave U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave U23 VS Leiria U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave U23

(Home)
27 Oct
Rio Ave U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
20 Oct
Rio Ave U23
4 : 0
Portimonense U23
13 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
2 : 2
Rio Ave U23
06 Oct
Rio Ave U23
1 : 1
Moreirense U23
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0
Penafiel U23
Page 1 of 7

Leiria U23

(Away)
27 Oct
Famalicao U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
20 Oct
Leiria U23
0 : 2
Torreense U23
13 Oct
SC Farense U23
1 : 2
Leiria U23
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 10 6 3 1 19:11 21
2 Academico Viseu U23 10 6 3 1 19:13 21
3 Estoril U23 10 5 5 0 21:15 20
4 Famalicao U23 10 5 2 3 18:16 17
5 Rio Ave U23 10 4 4 2 15:9 16
6 Vizela U23 9 5 1 3 13:11 16
7 Moreirense U23 10 3 6 1 20:10 15
8 FC Felgueiras U23 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
9 Braga U23 10 3 5 2 17:16 14
10 SC Farense U23 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
11 Torreense U23 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
12 Benfica U23 10 3 2 5 15:17 11
13 Leiria U23 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
14 Leixoes U23 9 2 4 3 17:15 10
15 Santa Clara U23 8 2 4 2 7:13 10
16 Penafiel U23 10 1 6 3 14:15 9
17 Gil Vicente U23 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
18 Portimonense U23 10 1 4 5 8:17 7
19 Maritimo U23 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
20 Estrela da Amadora U23 10 1 3 6 10:19 6
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)