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Rio Ave vs Nottingham 2

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Ave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rio Ave
25%
Draws
35%
Nottingham 2
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rio Ave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Ave have won more games recently than Nottingham 2.
  • Model gives Rio Ave a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave Nottingham 2
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.18 2
Goals Conceded 1.61 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Rio Ave vs Nottingham 2
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave 67 / 100
Nottingham 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave Nottingham 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nottingham 2 conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Rio Ave went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rio Ave scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave VS Nottingham 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave

(Home)
15 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 2
FC Porto
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0
Rio Ave
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1
Tondela
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2
Nottingham 2
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham 2

(Away)
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2
Nottingham 2