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Rio Ave W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Ave W host Vitoria Guimaraes W in the Liga BPI Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vitoria Guimaraes W have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Rio Ave W have conceded 0.94 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Rio Ave W have won 0 to Vitoria Guimaraes W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.75, favoring Rio Ave W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rio Ave W
20%
Draws
20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Ave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Ave W lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes W.
  • Win probability leans Rio Ave W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Ave W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Rio Ave W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Ave W 76 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Ave W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Vitoria Guimaraes W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rio Ave W's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rio Ave W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Ave W

(Home)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Braga W 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
4 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 FC Porto W 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Racing Power W 4 1 1 2 1:5 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Rio Ave W 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
9 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)