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Rio Barra vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cleiton
90'

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C game between Rio Barra and Buzios finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buzios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Rio Barra
17%
Draws
70%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Buzios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Barra come out ahead of Buzios on wins alone.
  • Buzios are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 15%
Buzios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra Buzios
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Rio Barra
1:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 15 / 100
Buzios 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios has conceded goals in 64% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Rio Barra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rio Barra scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS Buzios
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube0
Tigres Brasil2
Campos AA3
Rio Barra1
Buzios2
Barra Mansa0
Uni Souza0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira-
Campos AA-
Buzios-
Barra Mansa-
Final
TBD-
TBD-