Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Barra vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cleiton
90'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rio Barra
20%
Draws
30%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Barra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Barra come out ahead of Buzios on wins alone.
  • Rio Barra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rio Barra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buzios, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 68%
Buzios Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra Buzios
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Rio Barra
1:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 95 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Rio Barra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Buzios registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS Buzios
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Barra

(Home)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira 1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 0
Tigres Brasil 2
Campos AA 3
Rio Barra 1
Buzios 2
Barra Mansa 0
Uni Souza 0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira 6
Campos AA 2
Buzios 5
Barra Mansa 0
Final
Cardoso Moreira 2
Buzios 1