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Rio Barra vs Mesquita

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Jorge Luiz
88' Event
Fabio Carioca
90'
Ribeiro B.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Rio Barra and Mesquita finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mesquita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rio Barra
6%
Draws
4%
Mesquita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rio Barra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Barra come out ahead of Mesquita on wins alone.
  • Rio Barra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 68%
Mesquita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra Mesquita
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Mesquita
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mesquita Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Luiz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabio Carioca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 95 / 100
Mesquita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra Mesquita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mesquita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Mesquita's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rio Barra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS Mesquita
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paraty1291233:1128
2Santa Cruz RJ1283139:1427
3Riostrense1282229:1126
4Uniao Central1273234:1824
5Juventus RJ1273224:924
6EC Vera Cruz1262418:1120
7Angra dos Reis1261524:2119
8Rio Barra1140712:2412
9Buzios1240816:3312
10Duque Caxiense1231815:1910
11Caac Brazil1230910:359
12Mesquita122198:287
13Barcelona EC111195:334