Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2015

Nauas EC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco AC play Nauas EC in the Campeonato Acreano 2015. Rio Branco AC are favorites here. Recently, Rio Branco AC averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Nauas EC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Rio Branco AC won 4, Nauas EC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 10, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.05 for Rio Branco AC and 1.26 for Nauas EC. This points to a Rio Branco AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Rio Branco AC

15%

Draws

23%

Nauas EC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Rio Branco AC picked up more points recently compared to Nauas EC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.05 vs 1.26 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Rio Branco AC Clean Sheet 19%

Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rio Branco AC	Nauas EC
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	12	5
Draws	6	4
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.52	0.6
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Acreano

Nauas EC vs Rio Branco AC

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 4 - 0

0:3

Mar 27, 2022 Acreano

Nauas EC vs Rio Branco AC

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Aug 21, 2021 Acreano

Nauas EC vs Rio Branco AC

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Aug 19, 2020 Acreano

Rio Branco AC vs Nauas EC

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Jan 20, 2019 Acreano

Rio Branco AC vs Nauas EC

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco AC 60 / 100

Nauas EC 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rio Branco AC Nauas EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco AC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Rio Branco AC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rio Branco AC attacking → ← attacking Nauas EC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco AC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Nauas EC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rio Branco AC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nauas EC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 19

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.40

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.60

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Acreano	14	11	2	1	36:9	35
2	Rio Branco AC	14	9	3	2	48:12	30
3	Placido de Castro	14	7	2	5	23:19	23
4	Galvez	14	7	2	5	23:20	23
5	AMAX	14	5	4	5	19:21	19
6	Vasco da Gama AC	14	3	2	9	22:35	11
7	Alto Acre	14	3	2	9	18:41	11
8	Nauas EC	14	2	1	11	9:41	7