Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

0 - 1
FT
Porto Vitoria Logo

Porto Vitoria

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matheus Firmino
45'
David Lopes
45'
Rafael Mariano
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rio Branco ES
30%
Draws
31%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES have managed 1.26 goals a game lately — Porto Vitoria are scoring more at 1.44.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco ES taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 68%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitoria
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Porto Vitoria vs Rio Branco ES
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco ES Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Firmino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 46 / 100
Porto Vitoria 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco ES scored in 69% of their last 39 outings.

Porto Vitoria let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Rio Branco ES remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS Porto Vitoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 8

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rio Branco ES 1
Porto Vitoria 2
Vitoria ES 5
Forte 2
Vilavelhense 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
Serra 2
Real Noroeste 2
Semi-finals
Porto Vitoria 6
Vitoria ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
Serra 3
Final
Porto Vitoria 4
Serra 3