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Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Rafinha
84' Event
Julio Rodrigues

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rio Branco ES
30%
Draws
37%
Uberlandia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uberlandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES haven't matched Uberlandia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rio Branco ES a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Uberlandia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uberlandia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uberlandia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Uberlandia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia
0:2
Aug 28, 2021 Serie D
Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia
0:2
Jun 12, 2021 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Rio Branco ES
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco ES Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Uberlandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Julio Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 36 / 100
Uberlandia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Uberlandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Rio Branco ES's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Uberlandia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Rio Branco ES has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS Uberlandia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 6

Uberlandia

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3