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Rio Branco PR vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2025 Estadio Fernando Charbub Farah, Paranaguá
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Berg
46'
Sub
Cristaldo J. E. In: Vieira C.
Out: Cristaldo J. E.
51'
Filipe Santos

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2025 game between Rio Branco PR and Londrina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rio Branco PR
15%
Draws
51%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Londrina are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco PR Londrina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Londrina
1:1
Feb 2, 2023 Paranaense
Londrina vs Rio Branco PR
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Londrina
2:1
Apr 14, 2021 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Londrina
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Paranaense
Londrina vs Rio Branco PR
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco PR 15 / 100
Londrina 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco PR Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco PR scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Londrina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Londrina
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco PR

(Home)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
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Londrina

(Away)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario-PR 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Athletico-PR 11 6 4 1 19:9 22
3 Coritiba 11 6 2 3 19:8 20
4 Londrina 11 6 2 3 16:10 20
5 Cianorte 11 5 2 4 18:13 17
6 Maringa FC 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
7 Azuriz 11 5 0 6 8:13 15
8 Sao Joseense 11 4 1 6 13:21 13
9 FC Cascavel 11 3 4 4 7:10 13
10 Clube Andraus Brasil 11 3 1 7 9:19 10
11 Rio Branco PR 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
12 Parana 11 1 4 6 4:13 7
Promotion - Paranaense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 2 (Main)