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Rio Branco PR vs Parana

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2025 Estadio Fernando Charbub Farah, Paranaguá
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Elvis
38'
Bruno Vinicius
39'
Radeche

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2025 game between Rio Branco PR and Parana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rio Branco PR
30%
Draws
51%
Parana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Parana are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 10%
Parana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco PR Parana
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Parana
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Parana
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Parana
2:2
Jul 20, 2024 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Rio Branco PR
1:0
May 18, 2024 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Parana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rikelmi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco PR 14 / 100
Parana 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco PR Parana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco PR scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Parana has conceded goals in 49% of their last 35 outings.

Rio Branco PR has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco PR VS Parana
1.2 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco PR

(Home)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
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Parana

(Away)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario-PR 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Athletico-PR 11 6 4 1 19:9 22
3 Coritiba 11 6 2 3 19:8 20
4 Londrina 11 6 2 3 16:10 20
5 Cianorte 11 5 2 4 18:13 17
6 Maringa FC 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
7 Azuriz 11 5 0 6 8:13 15
8 Sao Joseense 11 4 1 6 13:21 13
9 FC Cascavel 11 3 4 4 7:10 13
10 Clube Andraus Brasil 11 3 1 7 9:19 10
11 Rio Branco PR 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
12 Parana 11 1 4 6 4:13 7
Promotion - Paranaense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 2 (Main)