Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco SP vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Diego Lanzarini

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Rio Branco SP and Paulista finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rio Branco SP
15%
Draws
34%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Branco SP haven't matched Paulista's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 12%
Paulista Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP Paulista
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Paulista
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 Copa Paulista
Paulista vs Rio Branco SP
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Rio Branco SP vs Paulista
0:0
May 27, 2023 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Rio Branco SP
4:3
Apr 22, 2023 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Paulista
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Lanzarini
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Paulista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 30 / 100
Paulista 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Paulista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rio Branco SP's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS Paulista
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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Paulista

(Away)
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
01 Aug
Paulista
0 : 2
Osasco Sporting
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)