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Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Alex Oliveira
81' Event
Felipe Siedekum

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rio Branco SP
30%
Draws
34%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco SP haven't matched Uniao Sao Joao's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco SP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 18%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco SP Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Rio Branco SP
1:0
Jun 25, 2022 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
May 22, 2022 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Rio Branco SP
1:2
May 17, 2009 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Rio Branco SP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Siedekum
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco SP 36 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco SP Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Sao Joao has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Rio Branco SP found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Rio Branco SP stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco SP VS Uniao Sao Joao
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco SP

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0
Piracicaba
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2
EC Sao Bernardo
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)