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Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Olímpio Perim, Venda Nova do Imigrante
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Douglas Zielke
19' Event
Lucas Silva
32'
Fogliato D.

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba game between Rio Branco-VN and Real Noroeste finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rio Branco-VN
35%
Draws
23%
Real Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Noroeste come out ahead of Rio Branco-VN on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco-VN taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 68%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Real Noroeste
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste
2:2
May 25, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Rio Branco-VN
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Zielke
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Teixeira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Real Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Affonso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 77 / 100
Real Noroeste 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Real Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Rio Branco-VN remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Real Noroeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rio Branco-VN found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Real Noroeste
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco-VN

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
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Real Noroeste

(Away)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)