Sport Picks
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Olímpio Perim, Venda Nova do Imigrante 
Match Events
30'
30'
Patrick Carvalho
(Penalty)
65'
65'
Juninho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco-VN
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Vilavelhense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rio Branco-VN's way, sitting at 60%.
- Vilavelhense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vilavelhense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 20%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Branco-VN | Vilavelhense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
2:0
Feb 3, 2026 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
0:1
May 9, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Vilavelhense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Branco-VN Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Vilavelhense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Branco-VN 58 / 100
Vilavelhense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Branco-VN Vilavelhense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rio Branco-VN went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Vilavelhense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Rio Branco-VN scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Branco-VN VS Vilavelhense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Branco-VN
(Home) 01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1 Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2 Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Serra
10 May
Rio Branco-VN
0 : 1 Porto Vitoria
03 May
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0 Vilavelhense
12 Feb
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 2 Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 3
Vilavelhense
(Away) 23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2 Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0 Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1 Vilavelhense
09 May
Serra
2 : 3 Vilavelhense
03 May
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0 Vilavelhense
15 Mar
Serra
1 : 0 Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Branco-VN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rio Branco ES | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport-ES | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 6 |
| 7 | Serra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Audax Sao Mateus | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)
