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Rio Claro vs XV de Jau Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Santos M.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Rio Claro and XV de Jau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rio Claro
15%
Draws
65%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • XV de Jau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors XV de Jau here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rio Claro Clean Sheet 23%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Claro XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Rio Claro
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Claro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

XV de Jau Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Claro 10 / 100
XV de Jau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Claro XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Claro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

XV de Jau let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rio Claro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Claro VS XV de Jau
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Claro

(Home)
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Rio Claro
3 : 1
Uniao Suzano
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)