Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Mortagua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rio Maior SC host Mortagua FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023. Mortagua FC are expected to control this from the start. Rio Maior SC have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Mortagua FC's 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Mortagua FC slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.18) point toward Mortagua FC. Mortagua FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Rio Maior SC

28%

Draws

22%

Mortagua FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rio Maior SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mortagua FC come out ahead of Rio Maior SC on wins alone.
Model gives Rio Maior SC a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 20%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rio Maior SC	Mortagua FC
Matches Played	17	41
Wins	1	19
Draws	3	10
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Rio Maior SC vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Rio Maior SC

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Maior SC 49 / 100

Mortagua FC 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rio Maior SC Mortagua FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mortagua FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rio Maior SC scored in 47% of their last 17 outings.

Defensive concern: Mortagua FC conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	1º Dezembro	25	15	5	5	37:19	50
2	Pero Pinheiro	25	15	7	4	34:24	49
3	Santarem	25	13	9	3	40:14	48
4	Marinhense	25	12	6	7	31:24	42
5	SB Castelo Branco	25	10	10	5	33:27	40
6	Mortagua FC	25	9	9	7	41:38	36
7	Sertanense	25	9	9	7	30:25	36
8	Sintrense	25	10	9	7	34:25	36
9	GD Coruchense	25	8	9	9	30:28	30
10	Uniao Da Serra	25	9	3	13	31:40	30
11	GS Loures	25	6	7	12	26:41	25
12	Arronches Benfica	25	5	4	16	15:39	19
13	Alcains	25	4	2	19	23:47	14
14	Rio Maior SC	0	1	0	12	0:0	0