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Rio Maior SC vs SB Castelo Branco Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rio Maior SC
15%
Draws
73%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Maior SC haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rio Maior SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Maior SC SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 17 43
Wins 1 23
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.59 1.7
Goals Conceded 2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs Rio Maior SC
0:0
Dec 17, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs SB Castelo Branco
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Maior SC 68 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Maior SC SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Maior SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SB Castelo Branco conceded in 63% of 43 recent games.

Away concern: SB Castelo Branco has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rio Maior SC's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Maior SC

(Home)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
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SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)