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Rio Norte vs Sao Paulo AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Rio Norte advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rio Norte
22%
Draws
18%
Sao Paulo AP
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rio Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Paulo AP haven't matched Rio Norte's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rio Norte's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Rio Norte have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Norte, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rio Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Norte Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 0 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Amapaense 2
Rio Norte vs Sao Paulo AP
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Norte 58 / 100
Sao Paulo AP 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Norte Sao Paulo AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Norte scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

Sao Paulo AP let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Rio Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rio Norte VS Sao Paulo AP
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Norte

(Home)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
30 May
Rio Norte
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
Page 1 of 2

Sao Paulo AP

(Away)
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
12 Jun
Sao Paulo AP
4 : 0
Lagoa
03 Jun
Cruzeiro AP
2 : 1
Sao Paulo AP
26 May
Sao Paulo AP
2 : 1
Latitude Zero
21 May
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Sao Paulo AP
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Portuguesa AP1
Cruzeiro AP0
Rio Norte2
Sao Paulo AP0
Final
Portuguesa AP0
Rio Norte2