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Rio Preto EC vs XV de Jau Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Leite A.

AI Match Summary

Rio Preto EC in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Preto EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rio Preto EC
30%
Draws
39%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to XV de Jau lately — more wins on the board than Rio Preto EC.
  • Win probability leans Rio Preto EC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rio Preto EC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Preto EC XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs XV de Jau
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Rio Preto EC
0:1
Jan 27, 2007 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs XV de Jau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

XV de Jau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Preto EC 59 / 100
XV de Jau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Preto EC XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Preto EC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Rio Preto EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

XV de Jau has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Preto EC VS XV de Jau
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Preto EC

(Home)
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
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XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)