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Rio Sao Paulo vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

77' Event
Vitinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Rio Sao Paulo and 7 de Abril finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rio Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
85%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • 7 de Abril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives 7 de Abril a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Sao Paulo 7 de Abril
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Carioca B2
Rio Sao Paulo vs 7 de Abril
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

7 de Abril Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
7 de Abril 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Sao Paulo 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rio Sao Paulo scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Difficult form: 7 de Abril registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Sao Paulo VS 7 de Abril
0 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Sao Paulo

(Home)
14 Nov
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
11 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
0 : 3
Campo Grande
07 Nov
Bonsucesso
6 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
03 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
1 : 3
Uni Souza
28 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
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7 de Abril

(Away)
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)