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Rio Sao Paulo vs Goytacaz

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca B1 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Pepeu
63' Event
Mello
73' Event
Patrick

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Carioca B1 2020 game between Rio Sao Paulo and Goytacaz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rio Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
90%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Sao Paulo haven't matched Goytacaz's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Goytacaz taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Carioca B1 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Sao Paulo Goytacaz
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2020 Carioca 2
Rio Sao Paulo vs Goytacaz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mello
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.09

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
Goytacaz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Sao Paulo Goytacaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goytacaz conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rio Sao Paulo scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Goytacaz lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Sao Paulo VS Goytacaz
0.17 Goals Scored 1.63
3.33 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marica851210:716
2Duque de Caxias843116:615
3Goncalense843112:715
4Serra Macaense840412:1512
5Olaria832314:1211
6Nova Cidade83236:1111
7Rio Sao Paulo81619:89
8Serrano FC82249:118
9Audax RJ821510:137
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nova Iguacu963016:521
2Sampaio Correa FE953121:918
3Artsul943214:815
4Goytacaz934212:1013
5Angra dos Reis93158:1310
6Sao Goncalo92345:89
7Campos AA911710:244
8Bonsucesso90274:212