Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Sao Paulo vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Guilherme Silveira
51'
Kevin
87' Event
Gallo B.

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niteroiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rio Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
85%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Niteroiense have won more games recently than Rio Sao Paulo.
  • Win probability leans Niteroiense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Sao Paulo Niteroiense
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.85 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2024 Carioca B2
Rio Sao Paulo vs Niteroiense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Silveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
Niteroiense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Sao Paulo Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Rio Sao Paulo scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Sao Paulo VS Niteroiense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Sao Paulo

(Home)
14 Nov
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
11 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
0 : 3
Campo Grande
07 Nov
Bonsucesso
6 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
03 Nov
Rio Sao Paulo
1 : 3
Uni Souza
28 Oct
Serra Macaense
3 : 0
Rio Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

Niteroiense

(Away)
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)