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Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Rio Verde Logo

Rio Verde

2 - 2
FT
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Iury Tanque
(Penalty)
45' Event
Iury Tanque
(Penalty)
47' Event
Cesinha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rio Verde
35%
Draws
37%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bom Jesus lately — more wins on the board than Rio Verde.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Bom Jesus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 13 9
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.28 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus
2:2
Aug 9, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Rio Verde
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Verde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bom Jesus Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 31 / 100
Bom Jesus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Rio Verde remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rio Verde's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bom Jesus let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Bom Jesus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Verde

(Home)
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Rio Verde
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
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Bom Jesus

(Away)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)