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Rio Verde vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2019 game between Rio Verde and Morrinhos finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rio Verde
30%
Draws
23%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Verde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rio Verde's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Morrinhos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
1:1
May 25, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Rio Verde
2:0
Sep 23, 2019 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Rio Verde
3:0
Aug 25, 2019 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Morrinhos
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 76 / 100
Morrinhos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Rio Verde found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Morrinhos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Rio Verde went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Morrinhos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Verde

(Home)
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
05 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Mineiros
01 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 0
Trindade
26 Aug
Goiania
1 : 0
Rio Verde
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Morrinhos

(Away)
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
26 Aug
Trindade
2 : 2
Morrinhos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaragua 11 6 2 3 15:8 20
2 Anapolis 11 5 4 2 19:12 19
3 Rio Verde 11 5 2 4 22:16 17
4 Morrinhos 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
5 Jataiense 11 3 4 4 13:21 13
6 Aparecida EC 11 3 3 5 15:16 12
7 Trindade 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
8 America GO 11 2 5 4 7:14 11
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2020 (Main)