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Riograndense vs EC Novo Horizonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riograndense host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3. Riograndense are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Riograndense at 1.17 goals for, 1 against; EC Novo Horizonte at 0.31 for, 3.15 against. Head-to-head, Riograndense have won 1 to EC Novo Horizonte's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 0.81, favoring Riograndense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Riograndense
15%
Draws
36%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riograndense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riograndense come out ahead of EC Novo Horizonte on wins alone.
  • Riograndense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riograndense EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 12 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 0.31
Goals Conceded 1 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs EC Novo Horizonte
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riograndense 76 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riograndense EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riograndense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Novo Horizonte conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: EC Novo Horizonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Riograndense found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Riograndense VS EC Novo Horizonte
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Riograndense

(Home)
10 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 2
Clube 1992
03 Oct
Panambi
1 : 0
Riograndense
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1
SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0
Riograndense
Page 1 of 6

EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
07 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 9
Real SC
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 7 5 2 0 15:6 17
2 Real SC 6 4 2 0 23:4 14
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Farroupilha 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
7 Riograndense 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
8 Clube 1992 7 2 0 5 9:11 6
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)