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Riograndense vs Farroupilha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Gaucho 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2022 game between Riograndense and Farroupilha finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Riograndense
15%
Draws
51%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Riograndense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riograndense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riograndense Farroupilha
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.23 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Farroupilha
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Farroupilha
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
0:1
Jul 24, 2022 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riograndense 31 / 100
Farroupilha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riograndense Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riograndense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Riograndense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Farroupilha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riograndense VS Farroupilha
0.86 Goals Scored 0.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riograndense

(Home)
03 Oct
Panambi
1 : 0
Riograndense
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1
SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0
Riograndense
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
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Farroupilha

(Away)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Sao Borja 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Elite CD RS 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Carazinho 6 2 0 4 4:9 6
4 Santo Angelo 6 0 1 5 3:9 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 6 5 1 0 15:2 16
2 Gramadense 6 4 0 2 9:4 12
3 Garibaldi 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 Marau 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sapucaiense 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 PRS FC 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Riopardense RS 6 0 5 1 11:12 5
4 Uniao Harmonia 6 0 2 4 9:18 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Bage 6 5 0 1 18:2 15
2 SC Rio Grande 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
3 Riograndense 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
4 Farroupilha 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2022 (Play Offs)