Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riograndense vs Real SC

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Matheus E.

AI Match Summary

Real SC in this Gaucho 3 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Riograndense
30%
Draws
37%
Real SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real SC lately — more wins on the board than Riograndense.
  • Real SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Real SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real SC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Real SC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 25%
Real SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riograndense Real SC
Matches Played 17 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Riograndense
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Real SC
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Riograndense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riograndense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riograndense 25 / 100
Real SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riograndense Real SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real SC let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Riograndense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Riograndense scored in 53% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

Riograndense VS Real SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riograndense

(Home)
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0
Riograndense
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
16 Nov
SC Rio Grande
2 : 1
Riograndense
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
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Real SC

(Away)
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Futvida
1 : 1
Real SC
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gramadense 3
SC Sao Paulo 2
Riograndense 0
Real SC 2
Final
Gramadense 3
Real SC 2