Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Risca United vs Cwmbran Celtic

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Connor D.
47' Event
Clayton J.
72'
Ellis L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Risca United
22%
Draws
18%
Cwmbran Celtic
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Risca United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Risca United lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Risca United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Risca United Clean Sheet 20%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Risca United Cwmbran Celtic
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 1
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Risca United
3:3
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru South
Risca United vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:1
Apr 1, 2017 Division 1
Cwmbran Celtic vs Risca United
3:0
Dec 2, 2016 Division 1
Risca United vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Connor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Risca United 58 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Risca United Cwmbran Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Risca United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Cwmbran Celtic has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cwmbran Celtic
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Risca United

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

Cwmbran Celtic

(Away)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8
Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llantwit Major30242473:3174
2Pontypridd United30216379:3069
3Briton Ferry30175876:3656
4Cambrian United30156973:4251
5Carmarthen Town30159652:2551
6Goytre Utd30156955:3651
7Taffs Well30147957:4749
8Pure Swansea301171244:4340
9Llanelli301171243:5440
10Afan Lido301231545:6739
11Trefelin309101158:5137
12Ammanford Town301041658:5634
13Cwmbran Celtic301041643:7434
14Risca United307101343:5131
15Undy30522341:8417
16Port Talbot3000308:1210
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)